WHY THE DANISH SOCIAL DEMOCRATS PARTY SHIFTED THEIR PARTY POLICY ON REFUGEES AND IMMIGRATION BEFORE THE ELECTION OF 2019?
Author
Saleem, Muhammad Ahsen
Term
4. term
Education
Publication year
2020
Submitted on
2020-05-26
Pages
48
Abstract
This thesis investigates why Denmark’s Social Democrats shifted their position on refugees and immigration ahead of the 2019 parliamentary election. It traces the party’s approach from 1994 to 2019, examining the legislation it supported in government and opposed in opposition, and how a tougher line on immigration was paired with a more left‑leaning economic platform. The study relies on secondary sources (academic literature, journal articles, official party materials, Statistics Denmark, UNHCR, and Danish government websites) and employs Harmel and Janda’s Integrated Theory of Party Goals and Party Change. Based on this framework, four analytical models are outlined, and two—core voter defection and prior electoral defeat—are applied to explore likely drivers of policy change in a mainstream party. The aim is to clarify the strategic considerations that can lead a centre‑left party to adopt a more restrictive immigration stance to maximize votes and attain office. Findings are not presented in this excerpt.
Dette speciale undersøger, hvorfor Socialdemokratiet ændrede deres linje om flygtninge og indvandring op til folketingsvalget i 2019. Analysen dækker partiets udvikling på området fra 1994 til 2019, herunder hvilke lovinitiativer partiet støttede i regering og modsatte sig i opposition, samt hvordan holdningsskiftet på udlændingeområdet blev kombineret med en mere venstreorienteret økonomisk profil. Undersøgelsen bygger på sekundære kilder (faglitteratur, tidsskriftsartikler, partiers officielle kilder, Danmarks Statistik, UNHCR og danske myndigheders hjemmesider) og anvender Harmel og Jandas Integrated Theory of Party Goals and Party Change. På baggrund heraf formuleres fire analyserammer, hvoraf to – vælgerfrafald blandt kernevælgere og nederlag ved forrige valg – anvendes til at belyse mulige drivkræfter bag politikskiftet i et bredt, mainstream parti. Målet er at forstå de strategiske hensyn, der kan få et centrum‑venstre parti til at indtage en mere restriktiv kurs på indvandringsområdet for at maksimere stemmer og regeringsindflydelse. Resultater præsenteres ikke i dette uddrag.
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