The impact of geopolitical disruptive events on agricultural global value chain: A case study of Ukraine cereal market
Authors
Avramenko, Oleksandra ; Rodriguez Parrazal, Erika
Term
4. Semester
Publication year
2023
Submitted on
2023-04-13
Pages
161
Abstract
This thesis examines how geopolitical disruptive events affect agricultural global value chains through a case study of the Ukrainian cereal market. It is motivated by recent shocks to the world economy, including COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine war. Using Transaction Cost Theory and New Trade Theory as analytical lenses, the study applies a qualitative design that combines interviews with policymakers and industry representatives with desk research drawing on reports, trade journals, and other sources. Through qualitative content analysis, it develops a conceptual framework that traces how the latest disruption propagates along the value chain—from inputs and production to export logistics and consumption. The core question is how such events alter structure, costs, and coordination in agricultural global value chains. The study contributes to global value chain scholarship and offers insights into vulnerabilities and adaptations in Ukraine’s agricultural sector during crisis, with implications for firms and policymakers.
Dette speciale undersøger, hvordan geopolitiske forstyrrende begivenheder påvirker landbrugets globale værdikæder med fokus på det ukrainske kornmarked. Udgangspunktet er de seneste chok for verdensøkonomien, herunder COVID-19 og den væbnede konflikt mellem Rusland og Ukraine i 2022. Med Transaction Cost Theory og New Trade Theory som teoretisk ramme anvender studiet et kvalitativt design, der kombinerer interviews med beslutningstagere og brancheaktører med desk research af rapporter, fagmedier og andre kilder. Gennem kvalitativ indholdsanalysen udvikles en konceptuel ramme, der viser, hvordan den nyeste forstyrrelse forplanter sig gennem værdikæden fra input og produktion til eksportlogistik og forbrug. Formålet er at besvare, hvordan sådanne begivenheder ændrer struktur, omkostninger og koordinering i den landbrugsbaserede globale værdikæde. Studiet bidrager til litteraturen om globale værdikæder og giver indblik i sårbarheder og tilpasninger i den ukrainske landbrugssektor under kriser med relevante implikationer for virksomheder og politikudvikling.
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