Renewable Energy Transition For a Sustainable Future in Namibia
Author
Le Fol, Yoann
Term
4. Term
Publication year
2012
Submitted on
2012-06-07
Pages
100
Abstract
Namibia’s electricity sector has relied heavily on imports from the Southern African Power Pool, and rising demand alongside tightening import options creates a risk of supply shortfalls from 2013. Although the national utility is examining fossil-fuel plants, the country has excellent renewable resources. This thesis explores how Namibia can transition to renewable energy by analysing the energy system at both institutional and technological levels. It applies the Multi-level Perspective to map actors and linkages, niche experiments (including off-grid electrification and micro-grids such as Tsumkwe), the incumbent regime, and broader landscape drivers from SADC and global trends, and reviews deployment instruments (feed-in tariffs versus competitive bidding, fiscal incentives, public finance and ownership models). In parallel, long-term energy scenarios are developed in LEAP to test different degrees of renewable integration and institutional change. The aim is to identify a policy framework that removes technical, economic and political barriers while ensuring security of supply. The thesis finds that high renewable deployment can power a more sustainable future for Namibia; detailed quantitative results are not included in this excerpt.
Namibias elsektor har i høj grad været afhængig af import fra Southern African Power Pool, og stigende efterspørgsel samt begrænsede importmuligheder indebærer risiko for forsyningsmangel fra 2013. Selvom den nationale forsyning undersøger fossile kraftværker, råder landet over førsteklasses vedvarende energiresurser. Specialet undersøger, hvordan Namibia kan gennemføre en vedvarende energiomstilling ved at analysere energisystemet på både institutionelt og teknologisk niveau. Multi-level Perspective anvendes til at kortlægge aktører og koblinger, nicheinitiativer (bl.a. off-grid-elektrificering og mikronet som Tsumkwe), det eksisterende regime og bredere drivkræfter fra SADC og internationale tendenser, og der gives et overblik over virkemidler til udbredelse (feed-in-tariffer kontra udbud, skattemæssige incitamenter, offentlig finansiering og ejerskabsmodeller). Parallelt udvikles langsigtede energiscenarier i LEAP for at teste forskellige grader af integration af vedvarende energi og institutionelle ændringer. Målet er at identificere en politisk ramme, der kan fjerne tekniske, økonomiske og politiske barrierer og samtidig sikre forsyningssikkerhed. Specialet viser, at høj udbredelse af vedvarende energi kan drive en mere bæredygtig fremtid for Namibia; detaljerede kvantitative resultater fremgår ikke af dette uddrag.
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