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Prediction of electricity consumption of heat pumps for use in an intelligent power-grid

Translated title

Forudsigelse af varmepumpers strømforbrug til brug i et intelligent elnet

Term

7. term

Publication year

2015

Submitted on

Pages

61

Abstract

The Danish power-grid has to include more renewable energy. By 2050 the consumption has to be 100 % based on renewable energy. This means more wind-power, and other intermittent power producers will be incorporated in the grid. Since the energy-producers are not well-suited to change their production, the demand-side has to be more flexible in the future. One way of making the demand more flexible is by gathering electricity consumers in a Virtual Power Plant (VPP) and control when they are using power and not. This study is focused on predicting the power of a VPP consisting of a pool of heat pumps. A model has been developed, together with methods for estimating the parameters for the model, and an approach to evaluating the performance of the model. The model takes data from the “Control Your Heat Pump” platform to make the parameter-estimation. The report demonstrates how this model is deployed by using Matlab and YALMIP.

The Danish power-grid has to include more renewable energy. By 2050 the consumption has to be 100 % based on renewable energy. This means more wind-power, and other intermittent power producers will be incorporated in the grid. Since the energy-producers are not well-suited to change their production, the demand-side has to be more flexible in the future. One way of making the demand more flexible is by gathering electricity consumers in a Virtual Power Plant (VPP) and control when they are using power and not. This study is focused on predicting the power of a VPP consisting of a pool of heat pumps. A model has been developed, together with methods for estimating the parameters for the model, and an approach to evaluating the performance of the model. The model takes data from the “Control Your Heat Pump” platform to make the parameter-estimation. The report demonstrates how this model is deployed by using Matlab and YALMIP.