Overcoming the Institutional Barriers in Relation to Meeting the 2030 Goal
Authors
Nagendiram, Thuvaraahen ; Johansen, Stephen Arguelles
Term
4. Term
Publication year
2020
Pages
121
Abstract
Dette speciale undersøger, hvordan Danmarks 2030-mål om 70% reduktion af CO2-udledninger i forhold til 1990 kan nås, både teknisk og institutionelt. Studiet adresserer en dobbelt udfordring: at identificere systemløsninger og teknologier, der kan levere reduktionen, og at forstå de institutionelle forhold, som hæmmer eller muliggør implementeringen. Metodisk kombineres en energisystemanalyse med værktøjet EnergyPLAN—hvor der udvikles to 2030-scenarier (en basisudvikling og et 70%-scenarie med øget sektorkobling)—med litteraturstudier og interviews med relevante aktører; den institutionelle analyse rammesættes af teorier om makro- og mikrostrukturer samt Scott's Three Pillars of Institutions. Resultaterne peger på, at 70%-målet er teknisk opnåeligt, især gennem styrket sektorkobling mellem el, varme, transport og industri. Samtidig identificeres væsentlige institutionelle barrierer. For at realisere scenariet vurderes det nødvendigt at ændre organisatoriske strukturer og det institutionelle samspil, styrke netværk på tværs af sektorer og planniveauer samt fremme offentligt-private partnerskaber, så et mere sammenhængende dansk energisystem kan etableres. Analysen tydeliggør desuden centrale udfordringer og handlemuligheder knyttet til implementeringen.
This thesis examines how Denmark can meet its 2030 target of a 70% reduction in CO2 emissions relative to 1990 from both technical and institutional perspectives. The study addresses a dual challenge: identifying system configurations and technologies that can deliver the reduction, and understanding the institutional conditions that hinder or enable implementation. Methodologically, it combines an energy system analysis using the EnergyPLAN tool—developing two 2030 scenarios (a baseline trajectory and a 70% scenario with greater sector coupling)—with a literature review and interviews with relevant stakeholders; the institutional analysis is framed by theories of macro- and micro-structures and Scott's Three Pillars of Institutions. The results indicate that the 70% target is technically achievable, particularly through stronger sector coupling across electricity, heat, transport, and industry. At the same time, significant institutional barriers are identified. Realising the scenario is seen to require changes to organizational structures and the broader institutional context, enhanced cross-sector and multi-level stakeholder networks, and the promotion of public-private partnerships to build a more coherent Danish energy system. The analysis also outlines key challenges and actionable options for implementation.
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