No End In Sight. Analysing the Syrian Conflict from a Regional Perspective.
Author
Kawade, Nupur Vasant
Term
4. term
Publication year
2019
Submitted on
2019-10-15
Pages
69
Abstract
Dette speciale undersøger den syriske konflikt fra et regionalt perspektiv i stedet for at fokusere på international intervention. Det centrale spørgsmål er, hvorfor det er vigtigt at analysere rollerne hos pro- og anti-Assad regionale stater for at forstå, hvorfor konflikten er så vanskelig at løse. Med Regional Security Complex Theory som teoretisk ramme viser studiet, hvordan sekteriske dynamikker, sikkerhedsdilemmaer og rivaliseringer mellem nabolande former krigen og deler regionen i lejre, der støtter eller modarbejder Assad-regimet. Gennem denne tilgang vurderes, hvordan disse aktørers interesser, alliancer og indbyrdes samspil påvirker konfliktens forløb og udsigterne for den regionale orden. Specialet konkluderer, at en vedvarende sekterisk rivalisering og regionale interesser samt konkurrence har vejet tungere end bestræbelserne på konfliktløsning, hvilket fastholder og forværrer vanskelighederne ved at afslutte krigen. Analysen er afgrænset til udvalgte mellemøstlige regimer og udviklinger frem til december 2018.
This thesis analyzes the Syrian conflict from a regional perspective rather than focusing on international intervention. It asks why examining the roles of pro- and anti-Assad regional states is essential to understanding the difficulties in resolving the war. Using Regional Security Complex Theory, the study traces how sectarian dynamics, security dilemmas, and rivalries among neighboring states shape the conflict, splitting the region into camps that back or oppose the Assad regime. Through this lens, it assesses how these actors’ interests, alignments, and interactions influence the trajectory of the war and the prospects for regional order. The thesis concludes that persistent sectarian rivalry and regional interests and competition have outweighed incentives to end the war, thereby entrenching obstacles to resolution. The analysis is scoped to selected Middle Eastern regimes and developments up to December 2018.
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