Climate Change, Youth and Conflict In The Lake Chad Basin: Understanding The "Ingredients" For A Presaged Humanitarian Crisis
Authors
Martone, Pierluigi ; Bressaglia, Miriam
Term
4. term
Education
Publication year
2020
Abstract
This thesis investigates how climate change shapes conflict dynamics in the Lake Chad Basin, with particular attention to the role of youth in Far-North Cameroon. It examines climate change as a threat multiplier that intensifies a vicious cycle of conflict, scarce natural resources, and limited youth agency. Using a mixed-methods design, the study combines quantitative environmental data from reports and scientific literature with three semi-structured interviews with experts who have worked in and lived in the region. The time frame spans climatic developments from the second half of the twentieth century to the present, and the analysis connects drought, rising temperatures, and resource stress to existing instability, including violence linked to Boko Haram. Challenging approaches that treat climate change, conflict, and youth separately, the thesis argues that their interconnections are essential to understanding why millions in the region require humanitarian assistance and why the crisis risks deepening. The excerpted chapters outline the methodological choices and context, while the main finding emphasizes the need for a holistic perspective.
Dette speciale undersøger, hvordan klimaforandringer påvirker konflikten i Tchad-søens bassin, med særligt fokus på unges rolle i det nordlige Cameroun. Formålet er at belyse, hvordan klimaforandringer fungerer som en trussel-multiplikator, der forværrer en ond cirkel af konflikt, knappe naturressourcer og begrænset unges handlekraft. Studiet anvender en mixed-methods tilgang, der kombinerer kvantitative miljødata fra rapporter og videnskabelige studier med tre semistrukturerede interviews med fagfolk med erfaring fra regionen. Tidsrammen omfatter klimatiske udviklinger fra anden halvdel af det 20. århundrede til i dag, og analysen relaterer tørke, temperaturstigninger og ressourcepres til eksisterende ustabilitet, herunder vold forbundet med Boko Haram. Afhandlingen udfordrer forskning, der behandler klimaforandringer, konflikt og ungdom isoleret, og peger på, at deres indbyrdes sammenhænge er centrale for at forstå, hvorfor millioner i regionen har behov for humanitær hjælp, og hvorfor krisen risikerer at forværres. De præsenterede kapitler skitserer metodevalg og kontekst, mens hovedresultatet understreger nødvendigheden af en helhedsorienteret tilgang.
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