Backcasting in transport planning - The potential of backcasting to create a long-term vision and improve coordination across public transport companies in the Greater Copenhagen Area
Authors
Jensen, Joe ; Nielsen, Marie Vang
Term
4. term
Education
Publication year
2017
Submitted on
2017-06-09
Pages
95
Abstract
Byer står over for voksende transportbehov, bilafhængige mobilitetsmønstre og svag sammenhæng mellem transportformer. Det udfordrer både bæredygtige transportsystemer og levbare bymiljøer. Samtidig mangler der ofte koordinering mellem de organisationer, der har ansvar for strategisk planlægning. Denne afhandling undersøger, hvordan backcasting kan bruges til at skabe en langsigtet vision, som kan styrke koordineringen mellem aktører i den kollektive trafik i Hovedstadsområdet (Greater Copenhagen). Backcasting betyder, at man starter med at beskrive en ønsket fremtid og arbejder baglæns for at identificere de tiltag, der skal føre dertil. Vi udviklede et backcasting-scenarie med en normativ vision og konkrete virkemidler og præsenterede det for nøgleaktører. Med afsæt i aktør-netværksteori (ANT) fokuserede vi på, hvilke aktørkonfigurationer der er nødvendige for hvert virkemiddel, og hvor der kan opstå uenigheder. I praksis fungerede scenariet som et redskab til at engagere aktørerne: det satte gang i drøftelser om deres identiteter og roller i at formulere en langsigtet vision og forbedre koordinering. På den baggrund peger vi på, at inddragelse af nøgleaktører som aktive deltagere i en participatorisk backcasting-proces kan bidrage til bedre koordinering på tværs af aktører i byernes transportplanlægning. Vi foreslår også, at det er nyttigt at identificere og beskrive aktørkonfigurationer, når man bruger backcasting, for målrettet at adressere koordination.
Cities face rising transport demand, car-dependent mobility patterns, and weak links between transport modes. This strains efforts to build sustainable transport systems and liveable urban environments. Many places also lack coordination among the organisations responsible for strategic planning. This thesis examines how backcasting can support the creation of a long-term vision that improves coordination among public transport organisations in the Greater Copenhagen Area. Backcasting starts from a desired future and reasons backward to identify the measures needed to get there. We developed a backcasting scenario with a normative vision and concrete measures and presented it to key actors. Using Actor-Network Theory (ANT), we examined which actor configurations are needed for each measure and where disagreements might arise. In practice, the scenario worked as a tool to engage actors: it prompted discussions about their identities and roles in forming a long-term vision and improving coordination. Based on these discussions, we suggest that involving key actors as active participants in a participatory backcasting process can help improve coordination across actors in urban transport planning. We also suggest that mapping actor configurations is a useful way to address coordination explicitly when conducting a backcasting study.
[This abstract was generated with the help of AI]
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