Author(s)
Term
4. term
Education
Publication year
2025
Submitted on
2025-05-31
Pages
75 pages
Abstract
This study evaluates evacuation preparedness and search and rescue (SAR) feasibility for Arctic cruise ships, as climate change increases tourism in remote, high-risk waters. Using a mixed-methods approach, it integrates regulatory review and agent-based simulation via Pathfinder to model evacuation under both normal and obstructed egress scenarios. Results show that even moderate disruptions significantly increase evacuation time, travel distances, and crew response delays. The model’s validity was cross-checked against the Le Boréal incident. A combined assessment of SAR capacities in Norway, Iceland, and Greenland reveals that, in the absence of air rescue, a coordinated sea-based operation using Norwegian vessels could evacuate all passengers within 30.5 hours. In contrast, uncoordinated national efforts would require between 9.6 and 14.6 days, underscoring the critical importance of multinational cooperation in Arctic emergencies. To address systemic interdependencies, the study introduces a Functional Resonance Analysis Method (FRAM)-based framework for Arctic SAR planning. Key findings emphasize the need to revise survival time assumptions, enhance joint training exercises, and adopt inclusive planning protocols. Future research should integrate real-world incident data and consider passengers with mobility impairments to improve simulation realism.
Keywords
Documents
Colophon: This page is part of the AAU Student Projects portal, which is run by Aalborg University. Here, you can find and download publicly available bachelor's theses and master's projects from across the university dating from 2008 onwards. Student projects from before 2008 are available in printed form at Aalborg University Library.
If you have any questions about AAU Student Projects or the research registration, dissemination and analysis at Aalborg University, please feel free to contact the VBN team. You can also find more information in the AAU Student Projects FAQs.